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21 Sep 2016
Fed's Yellen: Economy not overheating at the moment; every meeting is live, including November
Following are the key quotes, via Reuters, from Janet Yellen's Q&A session with journalists at FOMC Press Conference, following the central bank decided to leave unchanged the interest rates in September's meeting:
- Says seeing definite evidence that U.S. economy expanding more strongly
- Says not seeing strong pressures on labour market utilization that would suggest overheating
- Economy has a little more room to run than previously thought
- FOMC agrees that risks to outlook have become roughly balanced
- Expects labour market to continue strengthening, gradual increases in fed funds rate appropriate
- Fed generally agreed that increases in rates will be appropriate
- Most on FOMC thought case for immediate increase in rates was stronger
- Says needs more evidence showing progress to objectives
- Most of FOMC do expect one increase in fed funds rate this year
- Says expects to see one rate hike this year if no major new risks, stay on current course
- Says policy needs to be forward looking, doesn't want economy to overheat
- Good that FOMC does not suffer from groupthink
- Says partisan politics plays no roles in Fed decisions
- Says does not discuss politics at Fed meetings
- Decision not to raise rates today is largely based on judgment that there is no evidence economy overheating
- Every meeting is live, including November
- Timing on raising rates prompted active discussion at Fed meeting, range of opinions
- Current global environment does give rise to reach for yield
- Says should be concerned that reach for yield creates financial stability risks
- Threats to financial stability are moderate
- Says asset valuations not out of line
- Commercial real estate risks has caught Fed's attention
- Says not seeing signs of leverage building up
- Says not certain what is causing weak investment spending
- Weakness in investment spending extends beyond oil sector
- Says won't comment on U.S. election
- Says fed is generally please with U.S. economy
- There are risks in waiting too long to raise rates