Back

AUD/JPY break of 90.00 reveals further downside pressure

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - After trading as high as 91.17 earlier in the session, the AUD/JPY closed the session sharply lower down 163 pips at 89.54.

HSBC China PMI on tap

The main economic event of the coming Asia session will be HSBC China PMI due out at 1:45GMT. According to analysts at NAB Global, “The other key event this morning should be the China HSBC ‘flash’ manufacturing PMI, last at 49.2 and expected to show a small rise to 49.4. Anything worse than this risks fresh downward pressure on the AUD and upward pressure on USD/Asia FX rates in general.”


Technical set up keeps bearish tilt

The FXstreet.com trend index remains slightly bearish on the daily chart, while the ob/os index remains neutral. Price remains below both the 9 and 20dma’s, and the RSI (14) is consolidating below 30 and maintaining the bearish zone between 20 and 60. Both of these developments may help limit advances as we progress through the end of the week. Initial resistance now sits at 90.00 (previous support, now resistance), followed by 90.80 (the 9dma). Initial support sits at 89.23 (low of previous day).

Flash: AUD/USD forecast under review for downgrade - NAB

Given the sharp slide in AUD/USD, NAB has put its forecasts under review for further downgrade. The bank had expected the pair to stay around 0.93 by year-end, however, "the range-break higher in US yields and clear breakdown through 0.9400, an accelerated move towards the 0.90 areas was eminently possible" NAB notes. The bank does not rule out a potential recovery near term though, as "exporter buying and institutional hedging is likely to provide significant support and at least slow downside progress" NAB added.
Mehr darüber lesen Previous